I'm confused. What poll do you believe?

Let me tell you this about election day: 1) AG Abbott will be elected governor of Texas, but I don't know if it's by 10 or 20 points. 2) We will have surprises on Tuesday because the polls are so confusing. Yesterday, I saw two stories about the early vote.  According to Nate Cohen at The New York Times, the early voting is favoring Democrats in several states, including Colorado.  At the same time, the AP is reporting that early voting favors the GOP in Colorado. Who is right?  Who is wrong?  I'm confused. Over in New Hampshire, one poll had Senator Shaheen up 7 and another one showed a tie with former Senator Brown.  Are these pollsters calling voters in the same state? Again in Colorado, one poll had incumbent Senator Udall at 39% and the other at 44%.  Same question as before: are they calling voters in the same state? I'm not knocking pollsters.  They do their best to...(Read Full Post)